The Structural Bull Thesis Remains Decisively Intact

Nifty has once again rewarded patience by delivering exactly the kind of pullback that strong trending markets often provide. Yesterday’s decline offered an opportunity rather than a reason to turn cautious.

Whatever may have triggered the correction, one thing is becoming increasingly clear—the 23,800 level continues to act as an important area of support. In fact, I believe the broader 23,600–23,800 zone has now established itself as a high-conviction accumulation band. If Nifty revisits this region, it should once again be viewed as an opportunity to build fresh long positions instead of a signal to abandon the bullish view.

As discussed earlier, July 9 and July 10 are important cycle dates for the market. With those windows now upon us, price confirmation becomes the key. Ideally, I would like to see Nifty begin securing daily closes above today’s intraday high from tomorrow onwards. That would reinforce the current structure and confirm that buyers are gradually regaining complete control.

From a broader perspective, the market still appears to be preparing for its next meaningful move higher. The 24,600 level remains the final hurdle, and I continue to believe that the next attempt to clear this barrier is likely to be successful.

Having said that, 24,600 is the level that truly matters. A decisive daily close above it would confirm the breakout and signal the beginning of the next leg of the uptrend. Until that confirmation arrives, the strategy remains straightforward—use meaningful pullbacks into the 23,600–23,800 support zone to patiently accumulate long positions while allowing the market to complete its breakout process.

Now it’s simply a matter of letting price do the talking.

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