NIFTY UPDATE

Nifty Update: Weakness Is Doing Its Job — Time May
Be Getting Ready Next
Nifty has continued to slide and has now cleanly broken below 25,672, the support we discussed
last Friday. Ever since last week, when the index was trading around 26,150, we kept highlighting
that the short-term structure was turning weak — and the market has followed that script almost
line by line.
The pressure may not be over yet. On the downside, 25,200–25,300 remains an important zone
where the index could still get pulled toward.
But what makes the current phase more interesting is the time factor.
We had marked Friday and Monday as important cycle dates, and both days delivered good,
directional declines. That tells us the market is respecting the timing element very well.
Now, as this time window starts to mature, Nifty is slowly entering a zone where the odds of a
short-term trend shift begin to rise. In simple words: while price has been doing the damage, time
is quietly setting the stage. Once this window completes, the market could attempt a sharper,
more meaningful reversal on the immediate-term horizon.
Discipline remains key.
• As long as Nifty spot stays below 25,750–25,800, the tape remains weak.
• Any bounce below this band should still be viewed with caution.
• Only a reclaim of this zone would signal that the weakness phase is truly losing control.
To sum it up:
Weakness has unfolded just as expected, and 25,200–25,300 remains the nearby downside pocket.
At the same time, we are approaching a phase where time starts to matter more than price. The
next few sessions should tell us whether the market is ready to stabilize and turn, or whether it still
needs a little more time on the downside.

The Quiet Authority of Time

Markets are often described as unpredictable, yet anyone who has spent enough time observing price knows this isn’t entirely true. Beneath the headlines and day-to-day noise, markets tend to respond to rhythm, repetition, and periods of time where pressure quietly builds before releasing.

This work is a study of those moments.

Rather than attempting to forecast outcomes, this research focuses on identifying time clusters—specific windows during the year when multiple independent cycles converge. History suggests that during such periods, markets become more sensitive: trends accelerate, reverse, or make important decisions.

An equally important insight is what this study does not do. Not every month produces meaningful signals. For example, January 2026 contains no high-grade time confluence windows under this framework. This absence is intentional and meaningful. In time-based analysis, quiet periods often serve as preparation phases, allowing markets to consolidate before more active phases emerge.

The purpose of this document is awareness, not prediction. These windows are best used as preparation zones—times to observe more closely, manage risk carefully, and let price confirm direction.

This research is ongoing. As markets unfold through 2026, observations from live price behaviour will continue to refine and deepen the understanding of how time, rhythm, and market response interact. Over time, these observations form the foundation of a more disciplined and repeatable approach to market timing.

Click the link below to download the file.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Ac8_Go4V5eaK7QfQTZoHIv9qzOZXpw2w/view?usp=drivesdk

NIFTY – Market Note

Nifty moving back and closing into the December 22 gap is not a great sign
for the near term. It clearly shows that momentum has faded and the market is
not ready to trend just yet.
That said, this does not mean the market has suddenly turned bearish.
What this development really does is extend the sideways and choppy
phase. Rallies struggle to follow through, dips find buyers, and price action
remains frustratingly range-bound. This makes the setup not bullish, but not
bearish either.
From a medium-term perspective, a little more pullback would actually be
healthy rather than harmful. It would help reset momentum, absorb supply,
and build a stronger base for the next meaningful move higher. As long as the
decline stays orderly, weakness should be seen as digestion, not damage.
It increasingly feels like only a January effect may finally push Nifty out of
this extended consolidation band, as fresh flows and positioning reset for the
new year.

NIFTY UPDATE

Nifty Breaks the Congestion Zone: A Critical Week Ahead
Nifty has finally resolved the congestion zone on the upside. The price behaviour at Friday’s
close already hinted that the odds were shifting in favour of an upside resolution, and today’s
gap-up opening has so far validated that view by convincingly clearing the resistance zone. This,
however, is not just another routine trading week. From a time-cycle perspective, as
discussed in Friday’s note, the current week carries added importance. For the ongoing up-move
to retain its strength, Nifty spot must respect and hold today’s gap on the daily chart. If this
condition is met, the structure opens up for a move towards the 26500 zone in the near term.
Overall, this is a critical phase for the index, and price behaviour over the coming sessions will
reveal whether this breakout develops into a sustained move or remains a short-lived burst of
momentum.

MARKET UPDATE

Market Note: When the Noise Fades, the Market Speaks
Markets often move the least when everyone is waiting — and move the most once the waiting is
over. With the Bank of Japan meeting now behind us, a major source of global event risk has been
cleared. The absence of stress across currencies, bonds, and global equities is a signal in itself — the
market has absorbed the event and is now free to focus on structure.
For Nifty, this shift is important. The index has spent several sessions locked in a well-defined
congestion zone around 26,040–26,060 on spot. This is not random price action — it reflects
compression, patience being tested, and energy being stored.
With headline risk now reduced, the probability of Nifty attempting to resolve this congestion zone on
the upside improves, provided there is acceptance above the 26,040–26,060 band. The market finally
has room to respond to its internal setup rather than external noise.
What adds further weight to this view is the time element.
Next week stands out as significantly important on the time front, based on ongoing Gann cycle
studies. Extended consolidations often resolve when price and time align, and given how tightly Nifty has
been compressed, the market appears close to such a junction.
Key observations remain disciplined and clear:
• Broader structure remains constructive
• Momentum has been delayed, not damaged
• Event-driven uncertainty has eased materially
• Time is now stepping into a more active role
If acceptance above the congestion zone emerges, the index may finally transition out of this frustrating
sideways phase. If not, risk remains clearly defined — and clarity itself is an edge.
Closing Thought: When markets stop reacting to news, they start revealing intent. With event risk
behind us and time turning active, the next phase may arrive quietly — but it is unlikely to arrive
small.