Category: Gann INSIDES INDICES UPDATE
Protected: Market Update: A Tale of Two Indices
A Gann-Based Geometrical Analysis of the NIFTY
The Gann-Based Geometrical Setup
Building on yesterday’s brief overview, this analysis provides a detailed breakdown of the geometrical setup for the NIFTY. The methodology is applied to the recent swing from the June 30th high of 25,669 to the August 8th low of 24,339. The time duration of this swing is 39 calendar days, while the price range covers 1,330 points.
Calculating the 45-Degree Angle
The core of this calculation involves deriving a 45-degree angle for both price and time. To determine the price component, the total range of 1,330 points is divided by 8, yielding a value of 166.25. This means that multiples of 166.25 from the high or low represent the 45-degree price angle. For the time component, the 39-day duration is divided by 8, resulting in a value of approximately 5 days. In simple terms, this signifies that the 1×1 angle rises by roughly 166 points for every 5 calendar days, starting from the August 8th low.
Practical Application & Forecast
The application of this angle to recent market action provides a clear trajectory. The angle was at 24,505 on August 13th, reaching 24,671 by August 18th. It is projected to hit 24,837 on August 22nd, 25,004 on August 28th, and 25,170 on September 2nd, with a forecast for the NIFTY to cross its June 30th high around September 16th. This illustrates a powerful method for projecting future price movements based on past cycles.
Complexity and Conclusion
It is important to acknowledge that this is a basic approach to Gann theory. The analysis can become extremely complex when factoring in multiple active cycles and the interrelationship of various market swings. As a result, traders should note that the index must maintain its position above these key spot values on the given dates to sustain a bullish structure. For now, this serves as a foundation for understanding Gann angles, with more advanced applications to be explored in the futur.”
Beyond the Charts: The NIFTY’s Ascent Is No Coincidence
With today’s gap higher, the NIFTY has cleared all its resistances on the price front. On the time front, with a daily close above 24,600 on August 13th (which was the August 11th intraday high), the time cycles gave a clean breakout. It was only a matter of time before the price would have also joined, and the index chose a perfect day to generate that breakout.
As discussed earlier, August 14th and August 18th were significant time cycle dates. The most specific cycle date is likely going to be August 18th, because that’s going to complete a full circle on the time cycle front from its September 27, 2024, top. So now, with things aligning well on both the price and time fronts, it’s a good time for us to turn bullish, or rather, I would say, extremely bullish for the next few weeks.
Of course, short-term things would keep happening, and we would obviously keep discussing that regularly. But directionally, we would be looking for a fresh all-time high for the NIFTY, above its September 27, 2024, peak of 26,277 on spot, as late as October 16, 2025. Maybe it could come much before that, but that’s the maximum time it could take. There is a simple math applied behind this date; try to figure it out first. If you still find it tough, then do let me know, and I will explain it.
Today’s rally is also significant on the geometrical price and time equation, which at a 1×5 angle from its April 7th low of 21,743 comes at 24,815 on spot. The calculation is a bit complex, but what we need to understand is that as long as this price level is holding, the trend for the index is likely to stay extremely bullish. In the morning, I already shared the near-term upside targets in a broadcast list, so I won’t mix it up here. Let’s wrap things up for now.”
S&P 500: A Technical Outlook
https://ganninsides.com/2025/08/01/sp-500-the-clock-is-ticking-for-a-proper-reversal/
As we discussed, August 1st was a critical time cycle date for the S&P 500. A decline towards the 6200 mark was highly probable, and what followed was quite interesting: the market crashed to 6200 on that very day before reversing sharply. Since the 6200 support held, setups have turned bullish again, with the market clearing its July 31st high. This now signals a further rally towards the 6651 mark, which could occur within the next few days. The next significant turn date for the S&P 500 is August 25th.
In the near term, support lies at 6380, and buying on dips is advised as long as that level holds.
Strategic Moves: Preparing for Nifty’s Potential Swing
https://ganninsides.com/2025/08/11/the-final-verdict-niftys-medium-term-fate-hangs-in-the-balance/
The current outlook for NIFTY remains stable as long as Monday’s intraday low is successfully held. This suggests that a bearish trend is unlikely to develop in the near term and a rally is the most probable next move.
A clear bullish signal will be triggered by a breakout above yesterday’s high of 24,703. This is a critical resistance zone, spanning from 24,703 to 24,761. A confirmed move above this range is expected to initiate a sharp upward rally.
In preparation for this potential shift, we have significantly reduced our short positions. This strategic adjustment was made because the majority of our targeted stocks have already met or exceeded their price objectives. As a result, we will be maintaining a very low-risk profile on our stock positions moving forward.
From a time-cycle perspective, the next two sessions are crucial for a potential trend reversal. NIFTY is set to complete a 90-degree time rotation from its April 7th low on August 14th, and a 360-degree rotation from its September 27th, 2024 low on August 18th. We advise all traders to remain vigilant and manage risk effectively in anticipation of a sharp market swing.
The Final Verdict: Nifty’s Medium-Term Fate Hangs in the Balance
After a period of intense pressure driven by time cycles, today, August 11th, marks a pivotal moment for Nifty. The cyclical headwinds that have influenced the recent bearish trend are now expected to subside, opening the market to potential moves on both sides.
The immediate direction of the index hinges on today’s intraday range. A decisive close below the day’s low would serve as a powerful confirmation of the bearish trend, potentially accelerating the downside. Conversely, should Nifty manage a close above its intraday high, it could trigger a much-needed short-term pullback.
For the medium-term structure, the battle is far from over. The crucial test remains a sustained daily close below the 24400 spot support. A failure to hold this level would not only validate the recent damage to the index but also set the stage for a probable downside move to fill the open gap between 24166 and 24378.
While the market structure is in a vulnerable initial phase, its stability is precariously dependent on the resilience of these key supports. As the intense time window closes, the market is poised for a significant move, making the session’s outcome and the days ahead a matter of intense focus for all traders.”
When Cycles Meet Supports: Nifty’s Technicals and the Influence of Time
“Monday is shaping up to be a critical trading session for Indian markets. As we discussed earlier this week, certain planetary combinations are likely to keep markets under pressure at least until August 11th. We noted that this would be an intense and volatile period with the potential to drag the index below its all-important support of 24400 on spot.
Indeed, yesterday the index went below that 24400 support but failed to close beneath it. We will be watching closely to see if that happens today, as a sustained close below this level holds greater significance for Nifty’s medium-term structure. The more it sustains below 24400 on a closing basis, the more bearish it would become for the slightly longer-term time frames.
Furthermore, there is an open gap between 24166 and 24378 which formed on May 12th, following the India-Pakistan understanding. This gap would most likely be filled once the index sustains a close below 24400. Once this occurs, Nifty would be prepared for a significant downside.
For now, our focus remains on Monday’s session, where the intraday range will hold a great deal of importance. The collection of multiple strong time cycles from today onwards could make for a very dynamic and interesting period ahead.”
Market Alert: Nifty Enters an “Intense” Time Cycle with Key Supports at Risk
“Nifty’s key cycle date is today, and the time vibrations from this period have just begun to intensify. From today until August 11th, markets will be in the midst of an extremely intense and highly volatile time window. The significant astrological activity could have a sharp impact on financial markets, making this weekend very interesting for traders.
When approaching Nifty, a cautious stance is warranted. So far, the index is holding above its significant support of 24400 on spot, suggesting it is relatively stable for now. However, the strength of the time cycles might eventually push the index below this critical support. We would anticipate sharp declines once 24400 is breached. Similarly, for the S&P 500, a move below 6200 could generate a rapid decline.
As of now, the setups remain stable, but this has the potential to change significantly from tomorrow onwards. As long as these key supports hold, stability is likely to persist. The confluence of multiple strong time cycles from tomorrow could make things far more dynamic and exciting. Interesting days are certainly ahead.”
S&P 500: The Clock is Ticking for a Proper Reversal
“The S&P 500 may have put in a significant top at yesterday’s high of 6427. The ensuing move lower appears convincing enough to signal a decent correction, but for this initial sign to solidify, the index must get a follow-through today.
As discussed a few days ago, a test of the 20-day moving average, which sits near the 6260-6280 zone, is a distinct possibility and could occur as early as next Monday. We have been tracking the S&P 500 very closely, and with these clear signs of a potential reversal now present, we can project a decline towards 6200. Should that level be breached, a subsequent test of 6025 could occur swiftly.
On the time front, today is a critical cycle date, adding another layer of significance to the current price action.”
