A Gann-Based Geometrical Analysis of the NIFTY

The Gann-Based Geometrical Setup

Building on yesterday’s brief overview, this analysis provides a detailed breakdown of the geometrical setup for the NIFTY.  The  methodology  is  applied  to  the  recent  swing  from  the  June  30th  high  of  25,669  to  the  August  8th  low  of  24,339.    The  time  duration  of  this  swing  is  39  calendar  days,  while  the  price  range  covers  1,330  points.

Calculating the 45-Degree Angle

The  core  of  this  calculation  involves  deriving  a  45-degree  angle  for  both  price  and  time.    To  determine  the  price  component,  the  total  range  of  1,330  points  is  divided  by  8,  yielding  a  value  of  166.25.    This  means  that  multiples  of  166.25  from  the  high  or  low  represent  the  45-degree  price  angle.    For  the  time  component,  the  39-day  duration  is  divided  by  8,  resulting  in  a  value  of  approximately  5  days.    In  simple  terms,  this  signifies  that  the  1×1  angle  rises  by  roughly  166  points  for  every  5  calendar  days,  starting  from  the  August  8th  low.

Practical Application & Forecast

The  application  of  this  angle  to  recent  market  action  provides  a  clear  trajectory.    The  angle  was  at  24,505  on  August  13th,  reaching  24,671  by  August  18th.    It  is  projected  to  hit  24,837  on  August  22nd,  25,004  on  August  28th,  and  25,170  on  September  2nd,  with  a  forecast  for  the  NIFTY  to  cross  its  June  30th  high  around  September  16th.   This illustrates a powerful method for projecting future price movements based on past cycles.

Complexity and Conclusion

It is important to acknowledge that this is a basic approach to Gann theory.  The  analysis  can  become  extremely  complex  when  factoring  in  multiple  active  cycles  and  the  interrelationship  of  various  market  swings.    As  a  result,  traders  should  note  that  the  index  must  maintain  its  position  above  these  key  spot  values  on  the  given  dates  to  sustain  a  bullish  structure.   For now, this serves as a foundation for understanding Gann angles, with more advanced applications to be explored in the futur.”

Beyond the Charts: The NIFTY’s Ascent Is No Coincidence

With today’s gap higher, the NIFTY has cleared all its resistances on the price front.  On  the  time  front,  with  a  daily  close  above  24,600  on  August  13th  (which  was  the  August  11th  intraday  high),  the  time  cycles  gave  a  clean  breakout.   It was only a matter of time before the price would have also joined, and the index chose a perfect day to generate that breakout.

As  discussed  earlier,  August  14th  and  August  18th  were  significant  time  cycle  dates.    The  most  specific  cycle  date  is  likely  going  to  be  August  18th,  because  that’s  going  to  complete  a  full  circle  on  the  time  cycle  front  from  its  September  27,  2024,  top.   So now, with things aligning well on both the price and time fronts, it’s a good time for us to turn bullish, or rather, I would say, extremely bullish for the next few weeks.

Of course, short-term things would keep happening, and we would obviously keep discussing that regularly. But directionally, we would be looking for a fresh all-time high for the NIFTY, above its September 27, 2024, peak of 26,277 on spot, as late as October 16, 2025. Maybe it could come much before that, but that’s the maximum time it could take. There is a simple math applied behind this date; try to figure it out first. If you still find it tough, then do let me know, and I will explain it.

Today’s  rally  is  also  significant  on  the  geometrical  price  and  time  equation,  which  at  a  1×5  angle  from  its  April  7th  low  of  21,743  comes  at  24,815  on  spot.   The calculation is a bit complex, but what we need to understand is that as long as this price level is holding, the trend for the index is likely to stay extremely bullish. In the morning, I already shared the near-term upside targets in a broadcast list, so I won’t mix it up here. Let’s wrap things up for now.”

S&P 500: A Technical Outlook

https://ganninsides.com/2025/08/01/sp-500-the-clock-is-ticking-for-a-proper-reversal/

As we discussed, August 1st was a critical time cycle date for the S&P 500. A decline towards the 6200 mark was highly probable, and what followed was quite interesting: the market crashed to 6200 on that very day before reversing sharply. Since the 6200 support held, setups have turned bullish again, with the market clearing its July 31st high. This now signals a further rally towards the 6651 mark, which could occur within the next few days. The next significant turn date for the S&P 500 is August 25th.
In the near term, support lies at 6380, and buying on dips is advised as long as that level holds.

Strategic Moves: Preparing for Nifty’s Potential Swing

https://ganninsides.com/2025/08/11/the-final-verdict-niftys-medium-term-fate-hangs-in-the-balance/

The current outlook for NIFTY remains stable as long as Monday’s intraday low is successfully held. This suggests that a bearish trend is unlikely to develop in the near term and a rally is the most probable next move.
A clear bullish signal will be triggered by a breakout above yesterday’s high of 24,703. This is a critical resistance zone, spanning from 24,703 to 24,761. A confirmed move above this range is expected to initiate a sharp upward rally.
In preparation for this potential shift, we have significantly reduced our short positions. This strategic adjustment was made because the majority of our targeted stocks have already met or exceeded their price objectives. As a result, we will be maintaining a very low-risk profile on our stock positions moving forward.
From a time-cycle perspective, the next two sessions are crucial for a potential trend reversal. NIFTY is set to complete a 90-degree time rotation from its April 7th low on August 14th, and a 360-degree rotation from its September 27th, 2024 low on August 18th. We advise all traders to remain vigilant and manage risk effectively in anticipation of a sharp market swing.

The Final Verdict: Nifty’s Medium-Term Fate Hangs in the Balance

After a period of intense pressure driven by time cycles, today, August 11th, marks a pivotal moment for Nifty. The cyclical headwinds that have influenced the recent bearish trend are now expected to subside, opening the market to potential moves on both sides.

The immediate direction of the index hinges on today’s intraday range. A decisive close below the day’s low would serve as a powerful confirmation of the bearish trend, potentially accelerating the downside. Conversely, should Nifty manage a close above its intraday high, it could trigger a much-needed short-term pullback.

For the medium-term structure, the battle is far from over. The crucial test remains a sustained daily close below the 24400 spot support. A failure to hold this level would not only validate the recent damage to the index but also set the stage for a probable downside move to fill the open gap between 24166 and 24378.

While the market structure is in a vulnerable initial phase, its stability is precariously dependent on the resilience of these key supports. As the intense time window closes, the market is poised for a significant move, making the session’s outcome and the days ahead a matter of intense focus for all traders.”

When Cycles Meet Supports: Nifty’s Technicals and the Influence of Time

https://ganninsides.com/2025/08/05/market-alert-nifty-enters-an-intense-time-cycle-with-key-supports-at-risk/

“Monday is shaping up to be a critical trading session for Indian markets. As we discussed earlier this week, certain planetary combinations are likely to keep markets under pressure at least until August 11th. We noted that this would be an intense and volatile period with the potential to drag the index below its all-important support of 24400 on spot.

Indeed, yesterday the index went below that 24400 support but failed to close beneath it. We will be watching closely to see if that happens today, as a sustained close below this level holds greater significance for Nifty’s medium-term structure. The more it sustains below 24400 on a closing basis, the more bearish it would become for the slightly longer-term time frames.

Furthermore, there is an open gap between 24166 and 24378 which formed on May 12th, following the India-Pakistan understanding. This gap would most likely be filled once the index sustains a close below 24400. Once this occurs, Nifty would be prepared for a significant downside.

For now, our focus remains on Monday’s session, where the intraday range will hold a great deal of importance. The collection of multiple strong time cycles from today onwards could make for a very dynamic and interesting period ahead.”

Market Alert: Nifty Enters an “Intense” Time Cycle with Key Supports at Risk

“Nifty’s key cycle date is today, and the time vibrations from this period have just begun to intensify. From today until August 11th, markets will be in the midst of an extremely intense and highly volatile time window. The significant astrological activity could have a sharp impact on financial markets, making this weekend very interesting for traders.

When approaching Nifty, a cautious stance is warranted. So far, the index is holding above its significant support of 24400 on spot, suggesting it is relatively stable for now. However, the strength of the time cycles might eventually push the index below this critical support. We would anticipate sharp declines once 24400 is breached. Similarly, for the S&P 500, a move below 6200 could generate a rapid decline.

As of now, the setups remain stable, but this has the potential to change significantly from tomorrow onwards. As long as these key supports hold, stability is likely to persist. The confluence of multiple strong time cycles from tomorrow could make things far more dynamic and exciting. Interesting days are certainly ahead.”

S&P 500: The Clock is Ticking for a Proper Reversal

“The S&P 500 may have put in a significant top at yesterday’s high of 6427. The ensuing move lower appears convincing enough to signal a decent correction, but for this initial sign to solidify, the index must get a follow-through today.

As discussed a few days ago, a test of the 20-day moving average, which sits near the 6260-6280 zone, is a distinct possibility and could occur as early as next Monday. We have been tracking the S&P 500 very closely, and with these clear signs of a potential reversal now present, we can project a decline towards 6200. Should that level be breached, a subsequent test of 6025 could occur swiftly.

On the time front, today is a critical cycle date, adding another layer of significance to the current price action.”