Bearish Outlook Intensifies for S&P 500

https://ganninsides.com/2025/01/17/prepare-for-turbulence-key-dates-risks/

On January 17th, I shared a post with my subscribers in which I discussed the market setup for Indian and U.S. markets. The overall plan was to stay on the short side on both markets. Specifically on the S&P 500, I pointed out January 24th as a price and time squaring date, which usually indicates a trend reversal. So, a turn was likely, and today’s decline further strengthens the bearish outlook going forward. Despite the S&P moving higher in the past week, I maintained the same outlook. I would expect that we likely have a double top breakdown from the 6100 zone. Let’s see if this view holds true; then we are likely headed towards 5600 in the next few weeks. “As I previously warned, bearish and precarious market conditions were evident in leading tech stocks like NVIDIA and Microsoft. I expect these conditions to deteriorate further.”

The Road Ahead for Nifty: Volatility and Uncertainty

NIFTY broke below its significant support of 23,000 yesterday. However, the decline appears to be temporary for now. A sustained trade below 23,000 on the spot market is likely to drag prices towards the zone of 22,400 to 22,600 in the near term. With India VIX above 17, a one-way decline is unlikely. Markets are likely to head lower, but in a volatile manner. NIFTY is currently trading well below its resistance. As noted multiple times, volatility is likely to remain high until January 24th. Therefore, stay nimble with your trades. It is better to avoid careless trading. From here on out, it would be ideal to operate at lower volumes.”

Nifty: Temporary Respite Ahead of Further Lower Lows

https://ganninsides.com/2025/01/15/nifty-navigates-choppy-waters-support-holds-but-risks-remain/

“NIFTY, as discussed in the 15th January post, 23,000 is a strong support and holding that. There is a short-term probability of a rebound towards the zone of 23,550 to 23,700, which is the resistance zone.

However, this shall only be a temporary respite; the medium-term trend remains firmly bearish. So, post this rebound, expect further lower lows.

On the time front, until 24th January, vibrations are likely to stay on the higher side, so it’s better to be watchful.”