Markets are often described as unpredictable, yet anyone who has spent enough time observing price knows this isn’t entirely true. Beneath the headlines and day-to-day noise, markets tend to respond to rhythm, repetition, and periods of time where pressure quietly builds before releasing.

This work is a study of those moments.

Rather than attempting to forecast outcomes, this research focuses on identifying time clusters—specific windows during the year when multiple independent cycles converge. History suggests that during such periods, markets become more sensitive: trends accelerate, reverse, or make important decisions.

An equally important insight is what this study does not do. Not every month produces meaningful signals. For example, January 2026 contains no high-grade time confluence windows under this framework. This absence is intentional and meaningful. In time-based analysis, quiet periods often serve as preparation phases, allowing markets to consolidate before more active phases emerge.

The purpose of this document is awareness, not prediction. These windows are best used as preparation zones—times to observe more closely, manage risk carefully, and let price confirm direction.

This research is ongoing. As markets unfold through 2026, observations from live price behaviour will continue to refine and deepen the understanding of how time, rhythm, and market response interact. Over time, these observations form the foundation of a more disciplined and repeatable approach to market timing.

Click the link below to download the file.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Ac8_Go4V5eaK7QfQTZoHIv9qzOZXpw2w/view?usp=drivesdk

Nifty moving back and closing into the December 22 gap is not a great sign
for the near term. It clearly shows that momentum has faded and the market is
not ready to trend just yet.
That said, this does not mean the market has suddenly turned bearish.
What this development really does is extend the sideways and choppy
phase. Rallies struggle to follow through, dips find buyers, and price action
remains frustratingly range-bound. This makes the setup not bullish, but not
bearish either.
From a medium-term perspective, a little more pullback would actually be
healthy rather than harmful. It would help reset momentum, absorb supply,
and build a stronger base for the next meaningful move higher. As long as the
decline stays orderly, weakness should be seen as digestion, not damage.
It increasingly feels like only a January effect may finally push Nifty out of
this extended consolidation band, as fresh flows and positioning reset for the
new year.

Nifty Breaks the Congestion Zone: A Critical Week Ahead
Nifty has finally resolved the congestion zone on the upside. The price behaviour at Friday’s
close already hinted that the odds were shifting in favour of an upside resolution, and today’s
gap-up opening has so far validated that view by convincingly clearing the resistance zone. This,
however, is not just another routine trading week. From a time-cycle perspective, as
discussed in Friday’s note, the current week carries added importance. For the ongoing up-move
to retain its strength, Nifty spot must respect and hold today’s gap on the daily chart. If this
condition is met, the structure opens up for a move towards the 26500 zone in the near term.
Overall, this is a critical phase for the index, and price behaviour over the coming sessions will
reveal whether this breakout develops into a sustained move or remains a short-lived burst of
momentum.

Market Note: When the Noise Fades, the Market Speaks
Markets often move the least when everyone is waiting — and move the most once the waiting is
over. With the Bank of Japan meeting now behind us, a major source of global event risk has been
cleared. The absence of stress across currencies, bonds, and global equities is a signal in itself — the
market has absorbed the event and is now free to focus on structure.
For Nifty, this shift is important. The index has spent several sessions locked in a well-defined
congestion zone around 26,040–26,060 on spot. This is not random price action — it reflects
compression, patience being tested, and energy being stored.
With headline risk now reduced, the probability of Nifty attempting to resolve this congestion zone on
the upside improves, provided there is acceptance above the 26,040–26,060 band. The market finally
has room to respond to its internal setup rather than external noise.
What adds further weight to this view is the time element.
Next week stands out as significantly important on the time front, based on ongoing Gann cycle
studies. Extended consolidations often resolve when price and time align, and given how tightly Nifty has
been compressed, the market appears close to such a junction.
Key observations remain disciplined and clear:
• Broader structure remains constructive
• Momentum has been delayed, not damaged
• Event-driven uncertainty has eased materially
• Time is now stepping into a more active role
If acceptance above the congestion zone emerges, the index may finally transition out of this frustrating
sideways phase. If not, risk remains clearly defined — and clarity itself is an edge.
Closing Thought: When markets stop reacting to news, they start revealing intent. With event risk
behind us and time turning active, the next phase may arrive quietly — but it is unlikely to arrive
small.

Price, Time & Structure — A Market Update
NIFTY — Levels That Decide Direction
Nifty continues to struggle for clear direction, much like it has over the last several sessions. Two critical
spot levels remain in focus — 25650 on the downside and 26040 on the upside. The index moved
into the 26040 zone on Friday and again recently, but the lack of follow-through has taken the
immediate breakout scenario off the table for now.
Unless the index can sustain above 26040 consistently, the setup is likely to remain sceptical and
directionless. To generate a directional move, Nifty will need either a sustained acceptance above
26040 or a decisive break below 25650 on the downside.
On the macro front, this week’s Bank of Japan meeting is extremely important for global markets. Any
adverse reaction is likely to be short-lived and is unlikely to alter the medium-term uptrend in Indian as
well as U.S. markets.
USD/JPY — The Silent Risk Monitor
USD/JPY deserves close attention. A sustained move below 150 is typically where leverage begins to
feel uncomfortable and margin pressure starts surfacing quietly in the background.
A break below 145 is more serious. That zone often marks the point where positions stop being
discretionary and start becoming forced, allowing liquidation pressure to feed on itself.
December 19, 2025 stands out as an important time window — not because something must occur on
that day, but because conditions around that period could allow long-standing leverage structures to
begin unwinding.
Stay aware. Respect levels. Position accordingly.

This evening, we have a significant market-moving event — the FOMC rate
decision.
U.S. markets have been quiet and sideways lately, and today’s announcement should
finally bring movement. The medium-term structure in the U.S. remains bullish,
though short-term volatility across asset classes is likely.
Coming to Nifty, our stance remains the same: the medium-term trend is strong.
However, in the short term, the index still lacks momentum as long as the spot stays
below 26040. A healthy pullback remains possible toward 25650 and 25350. Position
accordingly.
On the time-cycle front, tomorrow marks a critical date. The market’s reaction
post-FOMC will shape our next steps.
Once this event concludes, we will also begin focusing on selective stock
opportunities with better clarity.