When Noise Is Loud, Geometry Speaks Softly: A NIFTY Perspective
As I mentioned in my Wednesday NIFTY update, everything on the time and geometry front was properly aligned. What we needed next was price confirmation.
That 48-hour window was extremely important. Price failed to confirm—and the market responded in the only way it knows how: by snapping back a few points.
That, in itself, is information.
The Structural Shift
The move below 25,752, the 1×1 Gann angle, has changed the character of the index.
What was an extremely bullish phase has now transitioned into a sideways-to-consolidation structure.
This doesn’t imply weakness.
It simply tells us that time has stepped in.
Whenever price loses a 1×1 angle, momentum pauses. The market stops trending and starts absorbing time while preparing for the next alignment.
Why Today’s Close Matters (Circular Arc Logic)
Now comes the important part.
A close above 25,667, which is the circular arc level, would be significant.
If achieved, it would mark the first weekly close above the midpoint of its circular arc in quite some time. The last such occurrence was on January 2, 2026.
For those who understand market geometry, this is not a small detail.
A weekly close above an arc midpoint often reshapes the intermediate-term structure.
Let’s Strip This Down to Simple Geometry (No Arcs, No Angles)
Now let’s step away from angles and circular arcs and look at this through pure, simple geometry—especially useful for beginners.
Take the move from the January 5 high at 26,373 to the February 1 low at 24,571 and treat it as one complete shape.
Price range: ~1,801 points
Time duration: 27 days
Now apply the most basic rule.
Divide both price and time by two.
Time:
27 ÷ 2 = 13.5 days
Adding 13.5 days from the February 1 low brings us to February 14.
Since February 14 is a Saturday, Friday becomes the effective midpoint date.
Price:
1,801 ÷ 2 ≈ 900 points
24,571 + 900 = 25,471
So 25,471 is simply the price equivalent of the time midpoint—
nothing to do with arcs, angles, or momentum.
How to read this level:
As long as NIFTY holds above 25,471, price is respecting time balance, keeping the broader structure bullish.
Despite the Noise, the Stance Remains Clear
So yes—despite all the noise, we still have valid reasons to remain bullish.
Not aggressively bullish, but selectively bullish, just as we have been over the past few months.
We were expecting new highs, and we continue to expect new highs in the near future, despite all the drama around the NIFTY IT pack.
One timeless rule of geometry must be respected:
parabolic moves are never sustainable.
When momentum cools, price doesn’t collapse—it resets. And once momentum realigns with the trend, the move often accelerates sharply.
Patience for confirmation is the real edge.
A Word on the Saturn Transit (February 14)
There’s also a lot of discussion around the Saturn transit happening on February 14, with many calling for a mega crash.
Here’s a simple astrological perspective.
In astrology, it’s usually the first move that matters most.
Saturn entered Aries in late March 2025. Markets already reacted to that shift, which we clearly saw in the first week of April when indices corrected sharply. That was the initial Saturn impact.
Because of this, it’s unlikely that the same Saturn energy repeats with the same magnitude again.
I’ve been following tropical astrology for many years, and this is how I interpret it.
Right or wrong—only time will tell.
Final Thought
As an analyst, you can only take a reasoned stance.
As a trader, your real protection lies in risk management, especially during volatile phases.
If you’re right, money gets made anyway.
If volatility rises, discipline keeps you in the game.
For now, we stay calm, selective, and patient—
letting price confirm what time has already suggested.
Let’s see how things unfold.
