Last Friday we mentioned on Price Pattern support on NIFTY. For now that stands same.. on TIME front this week we have 2 TIME CYCLE date 1st is Today which is a HARMONIC DATE.. And 2nd on Thursday which is aN ordinary Pattern date. Major TIME cycle dates are due next week. Which would have significant Impact on Financial Markets. We would continue to share short term levels on NIFTY but Today let’s discuss the broader setup in case the pullback extends further. NIFTY have a strong pattern resistance in the zone of 16,850-16,950 on spot. If in case this zone gets crossed then this pullback would extend further till 17250-17,450. But this move won’t be supported by Larger degree (TIME CYCLE). So the moral of the story remains same. Any upmove or rally is subject to selloff. No matter how far this pullback goes, that’s certain that it is going down. Or rather I should say it has to go down to complete its Targets. The reason of our conviction is our (Pin Point Study) of Past Cycles. During the weekend we had reviewed our bearish stand on Markets. And after our detailed analysis we still maintain our Bearish Outlook and downside targets of 15,500 and 14,400 on spot. 1st Target should come in Coming weeks and 2nd,Target should be achieved in Coming months. We are not going to change our view watching the Price fluctuations. Yes in any analysis there are margin of errors but with TIME ANALYSIS there is no space for any if or a but. It has to be exact. And as an Analyst, especially who follows (Gann Theory)
You have to be very clear with Market direction. There would be many who might change their stand based on sentiments and news flows. But our view have nothing to do with any news flow. In case all issues and problems are sorted out under the SUN markets still would go down and complete our Targets. Definitely we do understand the thin line between confidence and over confidence. So just to protect our Short Trades we have hedged our Futures Trades using Option. For NIFTY it’s just not possible to protect recent low of 15,671 made on 8th,March. Just a matter of TIME this level should surely break. Prices would pretend that its reversing but this fall is still far from over. It would be very Tough to Trade this market for retail traders: but anyone who stays with the ultimate direction is going to make good money. These are rare opportunities in a Traders Life, but if you manage your Trades wisely you may have a memorable experience to trade a (TIME PATTERN) breakdown. You may see things with more clarity 3 or 4 months down the line, when the majority of damage would had happened.

NIFTY is respecting its Price Pattern support of 16,400 on spot. Let’s see when this level breaks! Price and Time would coordinate on downside only below 16,400. Just a matter of time price should break. But until it actually breaks we are hedged for impulsive moves. NIFTY still have to close yesterdays Gap so do watch out interesting next week coming up. Play safe.

NIFTY should close todays Gap till tomorrow. Tomm also is a Pattern date for NIFTY so TIME getting active again. NIFTY have near term Price support at 16,400 if you are long then no point continuing that below 16,400.

Lenin’s quote, ‘There are decades where nothing happens, and then weeks where decades happen’ – is a great description for the past few weeks. Especially since he’s Russian. The way markets have moved in last 3 weeks signifies this statement. The pullback which started yesterday has still continued. For us this is still a pullback which has extended further. But frankly this has gone above our expectations. But in markets you have to be prepared for such things. Yesterday we added APRIL puts at 16,360 and we added that further after todays opening. So we have taken significant positions based on our view and pattern studies. Confidence, conviction, temprament and patience all 4 things are required to trade such market. We had and we still have a bearish outlook in markets. 15,500 is still a pending target on downside. Bare markets does have sharp rallies. And we just witnessed 1 such rally. MARKETS around the world has given a TIME PATTERN breakdown in February. For NIFTY that pattern Target is 14,400 on spot. Just imagine. You may call me a crazy analyst. But the TIME setup has suggested us this Target in coming quarters. For near term we are working with 15,500 as a Target. Feel free to save this post. We shall remind this post again when NIFTY tests 15,500.

NIFTY has closed the Gap which it opened on Monday. We did expected a pullback and NIFTY has given that. For now it’s just a pullback there is no significant improvement in overall structure. Market is going up to come down. Do remember the bounce from 16,200 to 16,800 and the way it fizzled out. We are looking opportunities to sell this rally. But because we have an event to deal with Tomorrow we are hedging our short trades to control our risk. In case MARKET decides to get adventurous. The positional view remains bearish. In last 2 days commodity markets have witnessed crazy moves. We still believe this should continue. OIL and METALS were already on a role but yesterday GOLD too joined the party. Do keep an eye on that plenty of juice left on upside on GOLD.

NIFTY extending its pullback. It could still go on only if it manages to protect 15,985 on spot. The moment it breaks game would get over for bulls. In high volatile markets price does fluctuates significantly but which move is real and which move is fake. That’s decided only using the TIME FACTOR. I really should not mention same point again and again. But would say one more time, this rally would fizzle out. Whether that happens Tomorrow or next week that doesn’t matter. We have that Temprament and Patience to reach our desired destination. So do understand our point of view.

NIFTY bulls we do care for you. In case you need fresh stop for your longs then move your stops to 16,100 on spot. Be sensibl with your positions and do respect the TIME.

NIFTY bulls you have a chance to exit. If you do not wish then move your stops to 16,190 on spot.

Surprising to se NIFTY not giving any meaningful bounce. 15,700-15,900 is not a zone to create fresh shorts. Either you hold your positions or reduce them it depends on individual time horizon and trading instrument. We need rallies to sell for our Target of 15,500 this is a market to take directional trades. Managing the risk element. Asian and European Markets are significantly below 24th,February lows. But U.S. MARKETS are still Trading above february lows. So they have significant space to go down. Anyone who wants to understand how sharp bare market rally can occur! They can go and check charts of NASDAQ in last week. Try to understand market behaviour.

USD-INR going on expected lines. MARCH futures have made High of 77.34 Today. View Posted here on 11th,February: the day when it gave TRIANGLE PATTERN breakout. Pattern Targets are 78 and we still maintain that. We initiated Futures Trade here at 75.20 and added positions here at 74.50. On profit terms such trades are always special. In future we would look to evaluate opportunities in other currency pairs as well. Based on our Understanding of Gann Patterns.

After a 400 points Gap down there is hardly anything you can do as a Trader. Todays low is only 200 points away from our pattern target of 15,500 on spot. But this Target is still pending. Just a matter of time NIFTY has to go there to complete the Complex Vibration Pattern. The Trade was and still remains on a short side. We ideally should close below Fridays low. Which conforms the Bearish Time. I won’t be surprised if NIFTY closes todays gap. If it does we would like to add our positions on short side. We have exit pole outcome and election results to react during the week. So voletility would be the part of life. Just manage your risk and avoid longs life would be very much easy.

ICICI BANK achieved the 1st pattern Target of 666 on cash. Made low of 649 so far. Broke diagonal support of 697 on 3rd,March. View posted on 2nd,March.

ICICI BANK made low of 642 on cash. Target 2 also done. Should test 612 in coming days. Which completes the diagonal pattern.

NIFTY has given bounce near a Hexagon Level of 16,150. We posted in morning at one point short trades has to be converted in cash. Since Today was a VIBRATION DATE such Voletility was always expected. Few times in past we clearly mentioned that you cannot be on both sides of market. You need to be particular with your view and direction. We personally preferred to avoid long trades. Today’s low is very critical. Mentioned this in morning as well. A close below Todays low would make things very nasty in short term. It also would be a daily close below HEXAGON level. So watch out for that. There is a old love affair between the month of MARCH and Daily gaps. So that shall continue. On Monday we have HARMONIC TIME CYCLE day. So voletility is here to stay. We shall attempt fresh shorts below 16,200 on spot. For now let it go up we are not interested in longs.