NIFTY, making it more Intresting now for retail Traders
All,though the up,move is only a Trap, this Trap will take its TIME to play out
So until (HARMONIC TIME PIVOTS) completes another CYCLE, It would be wise to wait
Now, the question is when this CYCLE would complete? Those who Understand HARMONIC TIME CYCLES, They know the next date
But those who doesnt, they should mark 1st,August, as next (HARMONIC TIME CYCLE DATE)
Until 1st,August Expect sideways and very volatile moves on both sides
It would be Tough for NIFTY to follow a clear trend till 1st,August
Because we have entered another sideways TIME CYCLE
Since Yesterday, many traders have asked me what to do with September puts
As far as I am concerned would continue to hold them
I still would look to add fresh positions on Higher levels
Would UPDATE when I do that
But anyone who cannot add, should not bother much
There were reasons why we entered SEPTEMBER puts
This MARKET would shake,out many before turning down
This MARKET would easily had turned lower if the high of 16,276 would had been protected
Because NIFTY has broken that, few alternate scenarios could potentially play out
And all sinarios should complete before 1st,August
In August markets have to turn down dramatically
More TIME markets stays sideways, that’s a clear signal that next turn on downside could be very sharp
With or without any negative news development, next turn on downside would surprise many
I still maintain 14,400 in SEPTEMBER
On 14th,July, I clearly mentioned, for short-term weakness NIFTY and other GLOBAL MARKETS must close below Fridays low
Since markets not doing that, short-term weakness cannot persist
So expect the Zig-Zag moves to continue
Better to approach with thin volumes, in short-term
On TIME front Tomorrow is a PATTERN DATE, and Friday is the VIBRATION DATE
Watching PRICE very closely
This bounce has stretched further above my expectations
But good part is it would provide opportunity to take fresh shorts
But need to assess that in real time
Based on my experience with previous BARE MARKETS, I think MARKETS would surprise TRADERS on Upside, before shockingly disturb Investors on downside
Let’s se how it goes
We are yet to see the best of this BARE MARKET

DXY, Fermly above 109, this have severe, infact very severe ramifications for Equity markets
Dont be happy with Intraday recoveries or short-term rallies
It’s only a trap
Back in April I posted a bullish view on DXY, Gave Target of 108, it has exceeded that
Next level to watch would be 110.50 if this breaks without any consolidation, that would trigger more panic in Emerging Markets
Next review on DXY when it prints 110.50
This should happen

NIFTY, along with other Global Markets have to deal with a critical (VIBRATION DATE) tomorrow
A daily close, across markets, below Tomorrows low would make short-term TIME cycle Bearish
A break of 16,000 on (NIFTY) have eliminated the probability of 16,400 for now
I would be more watchful In U.S. MARKETS,More specifically S&P, and NASDAQ, If markets breaks 3740, and 11,000 on both Indices respectively, I certainly have to rule out all upside possibility for near term
I would had been more comfortable if U.S. INDICES have turned down from slightly higher levels
But as analysts we have to accept what markets gives us, for slightly medium term I only have 1 view which is extremely bearish
From here I wont mind short-term bounces
Overall I am pretty clear and convinced with my view
Equity markets accross continents have to go down and make fresh lows for the year
Yes, have to deal with volatility but eventual direction would be on downside

HDFC,BANK has mostly made a near term Top at 1410
As far as it stays under it, TIME setup would remain week
Would prefer to go short on rallies, going forward, I expect (HDFC BANK) to turn,down and test levels of 1324 and 1278 on cash Positionally
I wont necessarily prefer futures on all short trades
There are several OPTIONS strategies which could be executed, if we have a certain direction clear on the underline symbol
Coming back to HDFC BANK again, I would be watching 1 level very closely on downside, which is 1225, I do expect it to go there
And complete its channel target

SBI, have a week (HARMONIC) structure
Medium term Target here is 370 on cash
But would take its TIME to reach there
For short-term a print below 470 would put it, in a week position
Below 470, I would expect Targets of 450, 425 which are lower (VIBRATION) points
And below 425 expect 400 which would be a (HEXAGON) level
For medium term, I am bearish on everything which ends with a word BANK
Let’s see
How things goes

AXIS,BANK has given a decent Counter trend bounce from June lows of 618
Most probably it has completed the majority part of its bounce
Expecting prices to turn down from here
PRICE conformation would come, below 660, for,targets of 637 and 604 on cash

ICICI,BANK, seems turning from a very ideal place
In MARCH it gave (HARMONIC CHANNEL) breakdown
After that it has given rejection around 770 levels, because 780,800 is the upper end of channel
The completion point for this Channel is at 562
But for short-term I would like to see a print below 740 to get a breakdown conformation
Below 740 Targets of 718 and 685 would open up
Be careful if you hold it as an Investment

INDUSIND,BANK, have a week structure
The long term setup is very week here
A print below 810 would trigger a PATTERN breakdown which would signal a move towards 768 and 725 on cash Positionally, would take it from there

KOTAK,BANK, looks ready to resume it’s down,trend again after a counter,trend bounce
A print below 1690 would trigger a PATTERN breakdown, which would open up Targets of 1625 and 1560 on cash Positionally
BANKS have plenty to do on downside

NIFTY, is going through a Timely and healthy consolidation before next move
All,though I expect next move to unfold on downside
But for very short,term as far as NIFTY, holds above 16,000 level of 16,400 is very much possible
But 16,400 is subject to certain conditions so it may or may not come
Another factor which I am keenly watching is the bounce in U.S. MARKETS, for me it’s too slow and narrow
I expected S&P, to test around 3960, it went till 3918
Let’s see whether it completes or falls short
Next TIME INDICATION for this market would come on Friday, which would be a VIBRATION DATE
Expecting a Trending move from next week
I have slowly started to add September puts
Watching closely whether markets turn from here or from slightly higher
Downside is imminent for this markets, only point is from where it start to fall
Thrilling times ahead
Let’s see how it goes